For a state that John McCain is expected to win handily, the Republicans sure look like they are in trouble. Democrats are poised to picked up the AZ-01 Congressional seat and yesterday, the Arizona Republic reports that there is a very good chance that Democrats will take control of the State House of Representatives for the first time in 44 years.
One of the state’s leading Republican strategists warned Monday that the GOP is in “acute jeopardy” of losing control of the state House – and maybe even the Senate – in an election that could be brutal for the party.
“The situation is dire and getting worse by the day,” Lincoln Strategy Group political consultant Nathan Sproul wrote in a four-page memo addressed to every GOP legislative candidate.
As subtle as a fire alarm, the memo comes less than a month before the Nov. 4 election and cautions incumbents and newbies alike that “the Republican Party is standing on the cliff of minority status.”
“The doomsday scenario for Republicans is no longer a distant possibility,” Sproul added.
He concluded his memo by saying that the danger of losing the majority status was “real and imminent.”
“The Democrats are well-funded, organized and hungry,” Sproul wrote. “It is every man and woman for himself or herself. Good luck. You’re going to need it.”
Democrats currently hold 27 seats to the Republicans’ 33 seats, meaning a four seat swing will win it for us. There is no need to ephazise the importance of legislative seats here as we followed special elections for the past 2 years. We also know that, as with the case of Barack Obaam, legislatures are incubators for future members of Congress, governors, and possibly presidents. If you are in AZ, do what you can to make it happen.
I think Democrats will pick up several more chambers. The key is holding them in the 2010 midterm, so we can have a good shot at redistricting for 2012. We MUST hold the PA House, MI House, the TX House, the WI House and Senate, and the OH House if we are to have any say in redistricting in these states for 2012.